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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 22

      Health Nerd Retweeted Norman Swan

      I don't agree with this framing tbh. Even if we were to have hermetically sealed rooms, the risk of an outbreak from hotel quarantine will never be zero The only way out long-term is vaccination #auspolhttps://twitter.com/normanswan/status/1385395293026340868 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Norman SwanVerified account @normanswan
      Yet another failure of hotel quarantine. It’s no mystery. Airborne spread can occur because the rooms aren’t designed for negative pressure. And now a flight from Perth and days of possible transmission. We are vulnerable. Need cabin accommodation. 1/2
      14 replies 12 retweets 77 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Pieter Peach‏ @DrPieterPeach Apr 22
      Replying to @GidMK

      In a way, but how many transmission events have happened in travellers in Howard Springs? While hotel quarantine risk may not be zero elsewhere, it’s actually achievable. Comes down to cost benefit including downstream community risk which is thankfully reducing due to vaccines.

      3 replies 1 retweet 14 likes
    3. Pieter Peach‏ @DrPieterPeach Apr 22
      Replying to @DrPieterPeach @GidMK

      With unvaccinated family members currently in quarantine in NT I’m feeling significantly more confident in their presence there than I would be in other facilities. We can’t ignore the obligation we have to protecting those in quarantine.

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 22
      Replying to @DrPieterPeach

      Sure, but from a broader perspective in terms of outbreaks the key outcome is whether there is viral spread in the community. We can't reduce that risk to 0 even with near-perfect quarantine facilities

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Pieter Peach‏ @DrPieterPeach Apr 22
      Replying to @GidMK

      Yes, that is the broader risk of interest which we have progressively reduced, but of interest to the families in quarantine and their relatives is how safe they are. Presumably safer than sitting next to someone on the plane, yes. Can risk be reduced further? Yes, at a cost.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 22
      Replying to @DrPieterPeach

      Right, but I'm not talking about the risk to people in quarantine. That is obviously one question, but not what I'm referring to

      7:55 PM - 22 Apr 2021
      • 1 Like
      • Pieter Peach
      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like

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