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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 19

      Q: How many people have died globally from COVID-19? A: Probably more than the confirmed count, but it's really hard to sayhttps://coronavirus.medium.com/how-many-people-have-died-of-covid-19-60243f60bc25 …

      11 replies 16 retweets 50 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 19

      The basic idea here is that we could be either undercounting or overcounting COVID-19 deaths I think the most likely explanation is some combination of the two

      1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
      Show this thread
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 19

      Based on some very careful examinations of death reporting systems, we can say that there are probably some portion of deaths that are recorded as due to COVID-19 but were not caused by the virus

      4:18 PM - 19 Apr 2021
      • 9 Likes
      • Johnny Rhee🔴 Mathematiker plädiert für Ruhe und Rationalität 🔴🔴Alex Kamikatz🏳️‍🌈 the sailing science shill ⛵️ Aaron hexaOrthorexia MeerkatinNZ transplantrockstar Kevin Davy
      1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 19

          However this is likely to be pretty modest in scale - mostly impacts high-income countries, and inflates the death toll by maximum 10-15%

          1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 19

          Conversely, there is strong evidence that in low-income places, the death toll from COVID-19 is undercounted, sometimes by a factor of 10x or more

          2 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 19

          Even in high-income places, there is evidence from excess mortality calculations that some proportion of deaths caused by COVID-19 are being missed

          1 reply 0 retweets 19 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 19

          All in all, we may be overcounting COVID-19 deaths by a modest amount, but we are almost certainly undercounting them by a much larger fraction. The true death toll may be 50%+ higher

          1 reply 3 retweets 27 likes
          Show this thread
        6. End of conversation

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