It does make a lot of sense, and I've been saying that seroprevalence studies often over-estimate infections for a long time based on my own work. And that statement is entirely factual, if reinfection through variants is common and severe within a 12-month cycle...
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Replying to @GidMK
But there’s just no evidence of that. You’re speculating on something unlikely. Surely you know that a lot of people follow you, many may take this out of context. I suggest turning to Covid immunity optimism—it’s been consistent and doesn’t harm society like immunity denying
3 replies 1 retweet 19 likes -
Replying to @TheEliKlein
Sorry, immunity denying? I honestly don't know the answer (which I make VERY clear in the thread), but I think that the explanation is less unlikely than I used to. Partially this is after talking to the researchers who did the Indian serosurveys
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Replying to @GidMK @TheEliKlein
It's also worth noting that explanation 3 is in some ways worse for the herd immunity by natural infection argument because it means that the disease is rather more severe than many serosurveys implied, and that the herd immunity threshold is well above the low modeled estimates
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Replying to @TheEliKlein
I wish I could be as certain of these incredibly challenging issues as you
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Replying to @GidMK @TheEliKlein
He's defending a pre-determined, ideologically-motivated position. I doubt he's read any of the seroprevalence studies done in India. I don't think he even understood the seroprevalence studies done in New York City. https://twitter.com/TheEliKlein/status/1297162658123337734 …pic.twitter.com/YWsR10rmJL
3 replies 0 retweets 6 likes -
But the dude has a PhD in epidemiology and immunology. Oh! Wait!
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Are you suggesting that India’s Covid problems are now being driven by reinfections or are you just collaborating with a troll on meaningless credentialism?
2 replies 0 retweets 12 likes -
Replying to @TheEliKlein @cskyriakis and
That’s what I thought. This is an important point. An art dealer shouldn’t have to correct “experts” pushing apocalyptic Covid conspiracy theories.
2 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
But you don't really, you've just spent this thread insulting me about a very real possibility that you for whatever reason dislike. It may not be the most likely explanation but to call it an "apocalyptic conspiracy theory" is just bizarre
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Atomsk's Sanakan Retweeted Atomsk's Sanakan
On the "waning neutralizing antibodies" bandwagon yet? Because as much as I wish it weren't true...https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/1384036645918310402 …
Atomsk's Sanakan added,
Atomsk's Sanakan @AtomsksSanakanReplying to @GidMKI'm settling more on a mix of something like: - relaxation of NPIs + behavior changes - seroreversion of neutralizing antibodies, while non-neutralizing antibodies persist on some standard assays https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.02.19.21252089v1.full … https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-20247-4 … https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/1383597478415532038 …0 replies 0 retweets 3 likesThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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