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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Seth Trueger‏Verified account @MDaware Apr 13

      I’m all for surging vaccines to hotspots so long as we have supply but let’s not pretend that immunity in a month is going to stop a surgepic.twitter.com/92HuHhfqw2

      21 replies 18 retweets 251 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Seth Trueger‏Verified account @MDaware Apr 14

      he’s right I was a bit glib, the curves split around day 10-14 for symptomatic infection (figure in the NEJM Pfizer study). I’m not sure that extends to other important outcomes (incl asx infection) plus in a surge more ppl will have been infected & prescription at time of vaxpic.twitter.com/xcsHGZ1R07

      6 replies 2 retweets 16 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Ryan Marino‏Verified account @RyanMarino Apr 14
      Replying to @MDaware

      If people can be asymptomatic for up to 14 days after infection, and it would take another 14 days for immunity then I don’t think the 1 month is an unreasonable approximation

      1 reply 2 retweets 5 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 14
      Replying to @RyanMarino @MDaware

      Also worth noting that "surging" is poorly defined. If you're vaccinating 1% of the entire pop a day (which is A LOT), you ~might~ double that to 2% which is not quite the instant fix implied

      7:10 PM - 14 Apr 2021
      • 2 Retweets
      • 8 Likes
      • Dee 「 zara 」 Dr Daya Sharma 😷🥽💨🧼💉💉 twist Chicago Vaccine PMO Ryan Marino Ed MD Seth Trueger Liz "The Mask Goes Over Your Nose AND Mouth" Ditz
      2 replies 2 retweets 8 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Ryan Marino‏Verified account @RyanMarino Apr 14
          Replying to @GidMK @MDaware

          Just the expert I was looking for! Isn’t it the case that once you hit a certain positivity rate in one area then vaccines will do pretty much nothing in any reasonable time and the only solution is physical distancing/stay at home?

          3 replies 2 retweets 3 likes
        3. Ryan Marino‏Verified account @RyanMarino Apr 14
          Replying to @RyanMarino @GidMK @MDaware

          Not that we would want to stop vaccinating but that the vaccines alone won’t be able to help/stop a surge past a certain point

          0 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. EggcellentTweets‏ @eggstartweets Apr 14
          Replying to @GidMK @RyanMarino @MDaware

          What confuses be here, especially, is that "surging" implies there's a lack of supply. But speaking from a neighboring midwestern state, we're actually doing fine on supply. Lots of available appointments pretty much everywhere in the state. What we need more of is...demand.

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Ryan Marino‏Verified account @RyanMarino Apr 14
          Replying to @eggstartweets @GidMK @MDaware

          “Ring vaccination” is a very cool concept that Michigan’s neighbors should all be thinking about right now

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation

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