Two important points about this thread: 1 - the P1 variant is quite scary 2 - this is all VERY UNCERTAIN and I'd be cautious inferring exact values about anything herehttps://twitter.com/terrence_mccoy/status/1379788191109156878 …
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definitely want precision about what makes P1 bad (look forward to you & others explaining it) yet seems like even if it "only" is 2x more contagious, (best case scenario) BR drastically expanding nurses, docs, beds, vents, etc. seems highly unlikely under current leadership
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Where are you finding good English language coverage of the situation in Brazil? I’m finding some media coverage, but it has not been very sophisticated in terms of reporting solid numbers. My gut says this variant is really bad, but I’m not seeing the science to back that up.
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Aren’t we seeing death totals if something like 4K/day in Brazil? I don’t understand what we mean when we say the science isn’t pointing to a very worrisome situation.
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