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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 6

    Health Nerd Retweeted zeynep tufekci

    The claim that vaccines are 100% effective against severe disease is becoming less and less uncertain as time goes on Fabulous newshttps://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1379064102824316929 …

    Health Nerd added,

    zeynep tufekciVerified account @zeynep
    More good news. Pfizer has the six month update. *Zero* hospitalizations among the vaccinated vs. 32 among the placebo group (n=46,307). Also real life data from South Africa, where B.1.351 is dominant: zero cases of COVID among the vaccinated vs. nine in the placebo (n=800). pic.twitter.com/2mLOh4LlRN
    Show this thread
    5:18 PM - 6 Apr 2021
    • 41 Retweets
    • 231 Likes
    • André Costa Silva Pandemic Menace 👿 hbd chick Ana Carolina Peçanha Antonio Lyse Edwards 💙 Alveo Technologies Scientista Tomek Bolek FactsMon
    9 replies 41 retweets 231 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 6

        Previously, the confidence interval for protection against severe disease for Pfizer ran from 0% all the way up to 100% Now it goes from 88%-100%

        3 replies 3 retweets 39 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 6

        Health Nerd Retweeted Natalie E. Dean, PhD

        As the fab @nataliexdean points out, it is unlikely that the efficacy is truly 100%, but the likelihood that vaccines are protective of ~most~ severe disease is what I was trying to get athttps://twitter.com/nataliexdean/status/1379590938897608704?s=20 …

        Health Nerd added,

        Natalie E. Dean, PhDVerified account @nataliexdean
        Replying to @GidMK
        I get the spirit of this tweet, but the statistician in me feels compelled to point out that nothing is 100%. With millions vaccinated, inevitably there are (and have been already) some breakthrough hospitalizations. Instead, I like to say that efficacy is very very high!
        3 replies 4 retweets 30 likes
        Show this thread
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Abdelrahman.‏ @Abdlrahmanhadad Apr 6
        Replying to @GidMK

        Any idea on its efficacy against the P.1 variant? That one is particularly concerning

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Venditore di papaye fresche‏ @shtuiothashuvot Apr 7
        Replying to @Abdlrahmanhadad @GidMK

        Despite the coverage, it escapes immunity less than B.1.351 does. So, if Pfizer works against B.1.351, which it seems to do, we should be fine.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Natalie E. Dean, PhD‏Verified account @nataliexdean Apr 6
        Replying to @GidMK

        I get the spirit of this tweet, but the statistician in me feels compelled to point out that nothing is 100%. With millions vaccinated, inevitably there are (and have been already) some breakthrough hospitalizations. Instead, I like to say that efficacy is very very high!

        8 replies 8 retweets 143 likes
      3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 6
        Replying to @nataliexdean

        Haha yes that's a good point, I should clarify that I don't think it is ~actually~ 100% 😅

        1 reply 0 retweets 15 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Pratik‏ @Pratik_1984 Apr 6
        Replying to @GidMK @notdred

        cc @fitterhappierAJ 🤷🏻‍♂️

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Anthony J Leonardi, PhD, MS‏ @fitterhappierAJ Apr 6
        Replying to @Pratik_1984 @GidMK @notdred

        That's pfizer, not AZN

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Your Northfield Township Neighbor‏ @OurNorthfield Apr 6
        Replying to @GidMK

        The results here aren't quite as spectacular, though they seem pretty damned close to spectacular. In Michigan, vaccine takers live among idiots. I've had two modernas, six weeks in. I'm hoping these deaths are edge cases.https://www.mlive.com/public-interest/2021/04/among-17-million-fully-vaccinated-michiganders-state-identifies-small-number-of-covid-19-infections-and-deaths.html …

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Rob England  🦓‏ @rob_england Apr 6
        Replying to @GidMK

        How can anything be 100% in medicine?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Ruud Br ⭕️uwer‏ @Ruud_Brouwer Apr 6
        Replying to @rob_england @GidMK

        Well, zero hospitalization vs 32 could also be achieved with a 98.5% effectiveness. 98,5% of 32 is 31.52. As more data comes in, we can adjust this percentage. But weather it's 98% or 100%, the result is awesome

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation

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