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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 5

    One of the weird things about the pandemic is watching people talk about uncertainty but refuse to admit that it usually runs in both directions

    11:52 PM - 5 Apr 2021
    • 50 Retweets
    • 345 Likes
    • Niamh de Valera viirulentscience Krista English Dennis Sweitzer (PhD) Ian Sinha (wheezylikesundaymorning) 🔴 Coco_lores 😷💉💉🔴🏴‍☠️ Maria Libura S Hal kcz
    12 replies 50 retweets 345 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 5

        "All of the COVID-19 cases might be false positives!" Well, unlikely, but perhaps. It was just as reasonable to say that NONE of the cases were false positives, or that there were many more cases than we could observe

        2 replies 3 retweets 83 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 5

        "There are fewer COVID-19 deaths than we've recorded" Again, possible. Unlikely, but possible. But people who say this rarely acknowledge that it is just as - if not more - likely that there have been MORE deaths than recorded

        2 replies 3 retweets 96 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 5

        "Lockdowns may be worse than the disease!" Possibly true. Equally, it's entirely possible that lockdowns save lives, and yet it's rarely framed that way in the discussions about uncertainty I wonder why 🤔

        9 replies 12 retweets 129 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 5

        There are many uncertainties. But if someone only ever expresses uncertainty in a single direction, it's hard to believe that they are simply concerned about what we don't know

        2 replies 13 retweets 176 likes
        Show this thread
      6. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. liam mcglinchey‏ @glinch72 Apr 5
        Replying to @GidMK

        This type of argument is common in Climate change discussion, where uncertainty is only ever invoked to claim the risks from climate change are over estimated, not underestimated. There are huge parallels between the types of arguments used by covid and climate contrarians ...

        3 replies 3 retweets 40 likes
      3. liam mcglinchey‏ @glinch72 Apr 5
        Replying to @glinch72 @GidMK

        ... who are often the same people. Well, at least, they are the same twitter accounts

        0 replies 2 retweets 20 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Agus  🚀‏ @austinc3301 Apr 6
        Replying to @GidMK

        What I've also noticed is that everyone likes to point out the existence of uncertainty but never the chances. Things like, "scientists aren't completely sure of X" missing the fact that scientists are rarely sure about anything. (Because certainty is rare)

        1 reply 2 retweets 19 likes
      3. Vulcanmom 🖖🏼‏ @vulcanmom59 Apr 6
        Replying to @austinc3301 @thinkofthehuma1 @GidMK

        Amen to that

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Amanda Kvalsvig‏ @AmandaKvalsvig Apr 6
        Replying to @GidMK

        And people seem quite relaxed about unquantifiable risks. Prolonged lockdowns have effects you can plan for and mitigate. But if you let an unknown, serious infection run through a population the range of possible outcomes is huge, w/ potential for disastrous decades-long issues.

        1 reply 4 retweets 47 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Venditore di papaye fresche‏ @shtuiothashuvot Apr 6
        Replying to @GidMK

        “We could be like Sweden!” sure, and we could also be like Brazil.

        2 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
      3. Show replies

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