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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 2

      Health Nerd Retweeted Dr Ellie Murray, ScD

      I thought this too, and was identically wrong!https://twitter.com/EpiEllie/status/1378016844087459842 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Dr Ellie Murray, ScDVerified account @EpiEllie
      Let’s start at the beginning: Jan 2020, I thought COVID would be contained relatively quickly with case counts on the order of SARS in 2003. This was a reasonable guess but clearly wrong.
      Show this thread
      6 replies 1 retweet 71 likes
      Show this thread
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 2

      Health Nerd Retweeted Dr Ellie Murray, ScD

      I mean, this whole thread. I think a lot of epis made the same errors (I've also admitted to this one before)https://twitter.com/EpiEllie/status/1378016846297894912?s=19 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Dr Ellie Murray, ScDVerified account @EpiEllie
      Jan/Feb 2020: I thought community-level face mask use wouldn’t help. I based this on studies of the flu, which indicated community mask wearing mostly didn’t work & that sick people were the ones that needed masks. I was wrong. I didn’t know how much asymptomatic COVID we had.
      Show this thread
      11:01 PM - 2 Apr 2021
      • 1 Retweet
      • 33 Likes
      • PPleaseman Pseudo Science Dr Paul Mackey Count Sheep🦇🏳️‍🌈💉💉 Defunct Phill DPhil Laurel Trusted Source Atomsk's Sanakan Lisbeth
      3 replies 1 retweet 33 likes
        1. This Tweet is unavailable.
        2. Dr Rob Whitehurst‏ @OYCar Apr 3
          Replying to @Aintropy @GidMK

          Flu disappeared in Australia too. No masks necessary.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Show replies
        1. Amelia Natoli‏ @Vortex_warrior Apr 2
          Replying to @GidMK

          I wasn't sold on effectiveness, but I was all about masks as something we might as well try.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Berend de Boer‏ @berenddeboer Apr 3
          Replying to @GidMK

          And still, it's so hard to find evidence masks do anything. And in NZ/Australia border workers keep getting infected despite masks. Look, in the UK we're dealing with 50% of symptomatic people not isolating, let's not assume masks have a meaningful effect in such a world.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Michele Capobianco‏ @Capobianco2005C Apr 3
          Replying to @berenddeboer @GidMK

          If we reason in terms of probability distribution, at community level, face masks can really "do a lot"! Then, of course, if you spend a long time, with many people, in a closed environment, without ventilation, the probability they can "do enough" decreases a lot!🤔

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Jon Bowen  💉 💉‏ @Jon_Bowen Apr 3
          Replying to @GidMK

          I think the level of political reliance on epidemiology, for a novel virus with relatively unknown properties, was a mistake. Related viruses are common pathogens in pets & livestock, & vets warned early on that this disease was likely to have some nasty tricks up its sleeve.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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