@nntaleb the whole thread, but this even more https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1376304539897237508 …pic.twitter.com/mCyDRd8hlp
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Yes it does it you say “no masks”
without measures, exponential curve is a good approximation until we start getting close to herd immunity, which we really don't want to do, no?
It depends on a lot of factors, particularly government intervention, which is actually what I said in the next few tweets in that thread
Oh boy.
That's a fair point, but the way you framed 'Fact 4' tweet made the idea stand on its own when the reality is it does spread exponentially *unless checked* in some way. Probably should have tweeted that whole phrase instead of the 'hot take.'
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