I think one overlooked aspect of Prof Ioannidis' recent paper, aside from the personal attacks, is that it is already being predictably misused The paper says nothing about the 'true' IFR of COVID-19https://twitter.com/SteveDeaceShow/status/1376324032321220616 …
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More realistic estimates of the proportion of people who have been infected in the U.S. gives us about 100 million infections (roughly) With 550k deaths, that's an IFR in the U.S. of ~0.55%
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And that's probably quite a large underestimate. There's strong evidence from excess mortality calculations that the COVID-19 toll is underestimated quite a bit in the U.S.
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He's saying that it is logically impossible for it to be a 0.15% death rate because more than 0.17% have died ALREADY and it's still going up and still people haven't had the virus yet.
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The population fatality rate for the UK is 0.22%. It's impossible for the IFR to be as low as Ioannidis claims (0.15%).
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Yup. We now have a "hard" lower bound estimate of the IFR for
#COVID19 in the US, and it's *at least* 0.17%, more likely at least three or four times that.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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More specifically, "Died having had COVID-19 identified as the underlying clinical cause by the treating physician and/or coroner as per CDC guidelines on death certificates"
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