I think one overlooked aspect of Prof Ioannidis' recent paper, aside from the personal attacks, is that it is already being predictably misused The paper says nothing about the 'true' IFR of COVID-19https://twitter.com/SteveDeaceShow/status/1376324032321220616 …
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Now, we differ in whether you can calculate a GLOBAL fatality rate for COVID-19 - I think it's not really possible - but even then the death rate for the United States is FAR higherhttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1376304543172939777?s=20 …
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The POPULATION fatality rate in the U.S. - i.e. the number of people who have died of COVID-19 in the entire country - is about 0.17% Assuming 100% of the country has had COVID-19 (they haven't), that's still more than 0.15%
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More realistic estimates of the proportion of people who have been infected in the U.S. gives us about 100 million infections (roughly) With 550k deaths, that's an IFR in the U.S. of ~0.55%
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And that's probably quite a large underestimate. There's strong evidence from excess mortality calculations that the COVID-19 toll is underestimated quite a bit in the U.S.
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it varies by age. Location means you die younger.
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