"The pandemic is on its way out" estimated an IFR 10-100× lower than the true range An example of a costless incorrect predictionhttps://twitter.com/freddiesayers/status/1263442908281294861 …
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Replying to @GidMK
Is this the time where we quote Dr. Fauci's statements? Such as: “the USA does not have to worry about the coronavirus,” and that it was “not a major threat.”
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Replying to @berenddeboer
The difference there is pretty easy - Dr. Fauci has spent the last 12 months changing his tune, whereas I do not believe Prof Gupta has even admitted that her assumptions have been proven impossible
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Replying to @GidMK
I have listened to her, and yes she has admitted mistakes. But in May everyone in Europe was ready to open up, and in June/July everyone was on holiday there. So barely alone.
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Replying to @berenddeboer
I'm not sure what point you are trying to make here. She has not admitted that her model is incorrect and her assumptions mathematically impossible AFAIK. I would love to be proven wrong if you've got evidence to the contrary
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Replying to @GidMK
I'm probably not qualified to speak for her, but as I hear her regularly my take is that her concern is the effects on the people without big homes, jobs you can do from home, and countries where GDP drops like we've seen kill loads of people.
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So no evidence that she has admitted that her published scientific work is based on impossible assumptions? Or that the herd immunity she proposed in May is clearly incorrect?
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Replying to @GidMK
Not that I know off, but you make a specific point, so I'll definitely keep an eye out.
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