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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Mar 22

      Health Nerd Retweeted Freddie Sayers

      "The pandemic is on its way out" estimated an IFR 10-100× lower than the true range An example of a costless incorrect predictionhttps://twitter.com/freddiesayers/status/1263442908281294861 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Freddie Sayers @freddiesayers
      NEW (let's see if @YouTube allow this one to stay up) Sunetra Gupta, Professor of Theoretical Epidemiology at Oxford University and author of famous 'Oxford model', defends her view that the virus has passed through the population and is on its way out: https://unherd.com/2020/05/oxford-doubles-down-sunetra-gupta-interview/ …
      18 replies 27 retweets 179 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Berend de Boer‏ @berenddeboer Mar 22
      Replying to @GidMK

      Is this the time where we quote Dr. Fauci's statements? Such as: “the USA does not have to worry about the coronavirus,” and that it was “not a major threat.”

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Mar 22
      Replying to @berenddeboer

      The difference there is pretty easy - Dr. Fauci has spent the last 12 months changing his tune, whereas I do not believe Prof Gupta has even admitted that her assumptions have been proven impossible

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    4. Berend de Boer‏ @berenddeboer Mar 22
      Replying to @GidMK

      I have listened to her, and yes she has admitted mistakes. But in May everyone in Europe was ready to open up, and in June/July everyone was on holiday there. So barely alone.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Mar 22
      Replying to @berenddeboer

      I'm not sure what point you are trying to make here. She has not admitted that her model is incorrect and her assumptions mathematically impossible AFAIK. I would love to be proven wrong if you've got evidence to the contrary

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Berend de Boer‏ @berenddeboer Mar 22
      Replying to @GidMK

      I'm probably not qualified to speak for her, but as I hear her regularly my take is that her concern is the effects on the people without big homes, jobs you can do from home, and countries where GDP drops like we've seen kill loads of people.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Mar 22
      Replying to @berenddeboer

      So no evidence that she has admitted that her published scientific work is based on impossible assumptions? Or that the herd immunity she proposed in May is clearly incorrect?

      11:14 PM - 22 Mar 2021
      • 2 Likes
      • blah Berend de Boer
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. Berend de Boer‏ @berenddeboer Mar 22
          Replying to @GidMK

          Not that I know off, but you make a specific point, so I'll definitely keep an eye out.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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