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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Bill Hanage‏Verified account @BillHanage Mar 16

      Bill Hanage Retweeted Aris Katzourakis

      Absolutely right. The various aspects of the failure need more thorough unpacking in a medium that is probably not twitter, but it is actually striking to me how *much* we (meaning epidemiologists) knew a year ago about what this virus is capable of, and how little it has changedhttps://twitter.com/ArisKatzourakis/status/1371771506489974785 …

      Bill Hanage added,

      Aris Katzourakis @ArisKatzourakis
      Seeing lots of really bad takes, around the one mark anniversary of various decisions being taken, that we couldn't know then, what we know now. We absolutely could, and if we had been taking seriously the information coming from various countries in Asia we would have known.
      9 replies 92 retweets 286 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Bill Hanage‏Verified account @BillHanage Mar 16

      Just as a for instance, the varying severity by age has been known pretty much since Jan 2020. And so has the potential for presymptomatic transmission, which is absolutely essential to the effort needed for control, and the importance of rapid testing

      3 replies 15 retweets 95 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Bill Hanage‏Verified account @BillHanage Mar 16

      I was very aware of the potential for minimally symptomatic transmission because of my involvement in this (true story - I wrote my draft on an overnight flight at the end of feb. Then we all got slammed and it wasn't submitted for months)https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7711496/ …

      1 reply 10 retweets 61 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Bill Hanage‏Verified account @BillHanage Mar 16

      Does 'clinically asymptomatic' mean that a lot of cases are not detected? Yes it does, and that led to a lot of mistaken confusion about whether population immunity was stealthily building. Why was this mistaken?

      2 replies 6 retweets 54 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Bill Hanage‏Verified account @BillHanage Mar 16

      Because we had seen Wuhan. We had seen Iran. Italy was happening before our eyes. We stood doing nothing while the flames overtook our neighbors' houses, and then acted surprised when the fire came for us.

      8 replies 30 retweets 148 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Bill Hanage‏Verified account @BillHanage Mar 16

      Since then there's been far too much clever arguing from some quarters that those who died were old anyway, or had something else wrong with them, or didn't really have covid at all. I wish people making such arguments would apply their intellectual energies to fighting the virus

      4 replies 20 retweets 126 likes
      Show this thread
    7. Bill Hanage‏Verified account @BillHanage Mar 16

      There *are* important discussions to be had around how to make things sustainable, and how to get resources to people so they can comply with restrictions, and how much risk to permit. This is all completely correct and the time for it was last summer

      3 replies 9 retweets 72 likes
      Show this thread
    8. Bill Hanage‏Verified account @BillHanage Mar 16

      But instead of responsible pandemic management, in too many places we got the culture wars, stoked by contradictory messaging and foolish (not to say ignorant) promises that the pandemic was past. We all know how that worked out

      1 reply 12 retweets 96 likes
      Show this thread
    9. Bill Hanage‏Verified account @BillHanage Mar 16

      Finally, when I think of the huge numbers who have lost their lives in the last few months, I can't help but think how many of them would have been vaccinated now, and protected. If only we had done more to stop the virus before it got to them. /end

      4 replies 35 retweets 192 likes
      Show this thread
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Mar 16
      Replying to @BillHanage

      Yes I can't stop thinking about that too. Hindsight is 20/20 and all that, but we knew in October that we'd have vaccines by Feb at the latest and yet...

      5:22 PM - 16 Mar 2021
      • 1 Retweet
      • 18 Likes
      • Sarah Markall Jeff Cavanagh KiaA 🇪🇺🇩🇪🇬🇧 Proud European from Austria🇪🇺🇦🇹 🌏 Johnny Rhee🔴 Stephen Griffin sharon lynch MarvelousMind Russell Dann
      1 reply 1 retweet 18 likes
        1. Bill Hanage‏Verified account @BillHanage Mar 16
          Replying to @GidMK

          Hindsight is very 2020

          0 replies 1 retweet 22 likes
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