People ask this question a lot, and I think it's actually worth an answer, so my thoughts: Have lockdowns caused large numbers of excess deaths? 1/10 https://twitter.com/kknnaabb/status/1370949787084746752 …
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7/10 As for places WITH lockdowns and little/no COVID? Well, the numbers look very different. Few excess deaths if any at allpic.twitter.com/Pin1qsXpOY
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8/10 These numbers are pretty similar across different investigations of excess mortality - in fact, it appears that lockdowns where there's NO COVID are associated with ~fewer~ deaths that expectedpic.twitter.com/Bu3lKkTHw7
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9/10 This doesn't mean that lockdowns work, or that they're perfect, or any such nonsense It doesn't even mean that they definitely don't kill people (remember, short-term)
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10/10 It DOES mean that the best current evidence suggests that lockdowns in and of themselves are not associated with detectable increases in mortality They may even REDUCE deaths overall
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11/10 Small addendum - lockdowns could still be bad if they saved lives, the point here is that we are completely lacking the evidence that we'd expect to find if lockdowns caused many deaths as some claim
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How are you defining lockdown vs. no lockdown? Sweden has not had a legal lockdown, but been able to achieve similar effects by voluntary and trust based recommendations.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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But then why has Sweden (Covid, minimal lockdown) done so much better than UK (Covid, fairly stringent lockdown) on mortality? Sweden's 2020 all-cause mortality rate is worst since 2012, UK's since 2009 or 03 (depending on measure).
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Check your population densities of UK and Sweden...
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