People ask this question a lot, and I think it's actually worth an answer, so my thoughts: Have lockdowns caused large numbers of excess deaths? 1/10 https://twitter.com/kknnaabb/status/1370949787084746752 …
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6/10 However, when we look at NO lockdown, and lots of COVID, we see a similar issue. Lots of excess mortality that is probably down to the virus itselfpic.twitter.com/UjvnpXyzAS
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7/10 As for places WITH lockdowns and little/no COVID? Well, the numbers look very different. Few excess deaths if any at allpic.twitter.com/Pin1qsXpOY
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8/10 These numbers are pretty similar across different investigations of excess mortality - in fact, it appears that lockdowns where there's NO COVID are associated with ~fewer~ deaths that expectedpic.twitter.com/Bu3lKkTHw7
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9/10 This doesn't mean that lockdowns work, or that they're perfect, or any such nonsense It doesn't even mean that they definitely don't kill people (remember, short-term)
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10/10 It DOES mean that the best current evidence suggests that lockdowns in and of themselves are not associated with detectable increases in mortality They may even REDUCE deaths overall
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11/10 Small addendum - lockdowns could still be bad if they saved lives, the point here is that we are completely lacking the evidence that we'd expect to find if lockdowns caused many deaths as some claim
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End of conversation
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Many regions in Spain actually did not lockdown the second time... I really don't see what this example is supposed to prove.
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