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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Mar 13

      It would be much easier to take certain scientists seriously when it comes to COVID-19 if they had some honesty about their disastrously wrong predictions over the last 12 months

      18 replies 55 retweets 479 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Mar 13

      We all make mistakes. I made several - in particular, I was very naive at the start about the potential for a true global pandemic leading to some dumb tweets

      5 replies 2 retweets 117 likes
      Show this thread
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Mar 13

      But it's really hard to listen to people who confidently predicted that the pandemic would be over by June 2020, or that virtually no one would die, talk about what we should be doing now without ever addressing their own failures

      6:27 PM - 13 Mar 2021
      • 16 Retweets
      • 223 Likes
      • diamartist LongCOVID fighter (((Vanity Unfair))) No longer contemplating removing my mask Daniela Povl Erik Carstensen Glass Half Empty Mikko Korhonen rbe
      8 replies 16 retweets 223 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Carl T. Bergstrom‏Verified account @CT_Bergstrom Mar 13
          Replying to @GidMK

          Agreed. Ditto mistakes e.g. I thought it was unlikely we'd see increased transmissibility on the scale of B.1.1.7, and wrote as much over the summer. But I've acknowledged my mistake and tried to think about why I felt as confident as I did. (Anchoring on flu again, mostly).

          5 replies 2 retweets 46 likes
        3. Seth Edmunds‏ @seth_edmunds Mar 13
          Replying to @CT_Bergstrom @GidMK

          Hopefully the new interagency modeling unit that hopefully will be created will add some much needed memory/hindsight to predictive modeling and forecasting.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Sarah Joseph‏ @profsarahj Mar 13
          Replying to @GidMK

          True. But there have also been people who have been very wrong the other way, esp re Australia, with constant doomsaying.

          4 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Show replies
        1. Pieter Peach‏ @DrPieterPeach Mar 13
          Replying to @GidMK

          Pieter Peach Retweeted Pieter Peach

          I was sceptical of our ability to maintain sufficient community motivation for symptomatic testing in the context of #ZeroCovid but I was proven wrong, thankfullyhttps://twitter.com/DrPieterPeach/status/1278214193515098112 …

          Pieter Peach added,

          Pieter Peach @DrPieterPeach
          Replying to @inquisitiveGyn @kyliehobomum and 2 others
          There is always going to be an equilibrium between a population's motivation to elevate safety behaviour & prevalence. I sincerely hope WA/SA/QLD/NT stay zero as long as they can. They could easily turn into VIC with restrictions lifted & one undetected super spreader event.
          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. PastaMonkey‏ @monkey_pasta Mar 13
          Replying to @GidMK

          Name of credible scientist who said those things and the source?

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Aidan‏ @allsumnull Mar 13
          Replying to @GidMK

          Their egos are too bound up with being right.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Jarkko Iivarinen‏ @JarkkoIivarinen Mar 14
          Replying to @GidMK

          For me this is relevant especially due to the Barringtonians. Still, none of our local signatories denounced the declaration. Therefore, it's rather hard to listen to them on other issues as one can not know if the ideology still impacts their comments.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Jeffrey Shallit‏ @shallit43 Mar 14
          Replying to @GidMK

          They should have all-listened to me, and I'm not even an epidemiologist.pic.twitter.com/8iGInrnbzr

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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