We all make mistakes. I made several - in particular, I was very naive at the start about the potential for a true global pandemic leading to some dumb tweets
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But it's really hard to listen to people who confidently predicted that the pandemic would be over by June 2020, or that virtually no one would die, talk about what we should be doing now without ever addressing their own failures
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There were too many opinions often not backed by science. Too many so-called experts or leaders allowed themselves to fall low sharing opinions with no supporting data just to have their own moment of fame
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Spot on ... I’ll add to it though. It would be even easier to forgive the many “mis-influencers” of the pandemic (influencers suddenly gifted with Matrix-style “science downloads”) if they could do the same and get back to their business as usual. Mis-influencers are far worse.
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I love Dr. Fauci but it still perplexes me why an actual epidemiologist hasn’t been running the show.
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Or some former journalists.
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It is difficult to trust ‘the science’ when it appears to be about opposing opinions thereof. Much more credible to say ‘we don’t know’, ‘we aren’t sure’, ‘as we learn more’, ‘we were wrong’. It is figuring out how something works that makes science so fascinating.
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To be fair, much of what appears to be “opposing opinions” to lay people has been the result of the fringe getting WAY too much air time.
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Ioannidis addressed his failed prediction... by blaming the behavior of others, instead of his mathematically impossible work on his low IFR estimate. Consistent with what you showed on the other thread: https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1370541136360529926 … https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/1369420295187144709 … https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7447267/ …pic.twitter.com/cvOH5b8bQF
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How many deaths were in nursing homes? I do not expect them to be half million minus Ioannidis prediction
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