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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Mar 12

      Health Nerd Retweeted Tom Whipple

      A year on, I do wonder how people who have been completely incorrect once a month since March 2020 are given the slightest credence and people who were mostly right are still ignoredhttps://twitter.com/whippletom/status/1370493135466459138 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Tom WhippleVerified account @whippletom
      A year ago, one team of epidemiologists led by Neil Ferguson said we risked 250,000 deaths, another led by Sunetra Gupta said we'd plausibly already reached herd immunity. This Times commenter had the below analysis. https://twitter.com/whippletom/status/1243062680962899968 …
      7 replies 48 retweets 199 likes
      Show this thread
    2. George Dance‏ @georgedance04 Mar 13
      Replying to @GidMK

      Neil Ferguson predicted that without extreme NPIs the virus would spread exponentially and infect the whole population in two months (with a death toll in the UK of 220,000 - 550,000 before the end of May). Only a #Lockdowncultist could believe that came true anywhere.

      6 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Mar 13
      Replying to @georgedance04

      That is a complete misrepresentation of the quite detailed paper that was released about this time last year

      12:25 AM - 13 Mar 2021
      • 28 Likes
      • Ale 👩🏻‍🔬👩🏻‍💻 🇮🇹🇨🇦💉💉 - 🦠 is AIRBORNE lee prew Ivan B. hiccupping into the future Trevor P Jeremy Ratcliff Nick Backes C Tolley
      2 replies 0 retweets 28 likes
        1. George Dance‏ @georgedance04 Mar 13
          Replying to @GidMK

          No, you're misremembering. Reread, if you read it once.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Pf-Ilze-red  😷 🇿🇦‏ @toit_ilze Mar 13
          Replying to @GidMK @georgedance04

          With an IFR of about 0.5-1% without healthcare under pressure and herd immunity of about 60-80% I find that quite believable. If healthcare is under pressure IFR can even be above 1%.

          0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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