A thought I've been having - while we should acknowledge that #LongCovid is a real issue and impacts a large proportion of people, we should be careful with the exact numbers we are reporting
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What’s the reasonable argument for more long Covid? That’s highly unlikely and I think you probably know that....
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The most disadvantaged people are the most likely to not engage with the surveys that have been done so far, and also the most likely to experience long-lasting symptoms. If they are truly underrepresented, the proportion could easily be higher
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Don’t know if you saw this one: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.07.20208702v1.full.pdf … But when people ask me for a stat on the frequency in the general population this has been the reference I’ve deferred to. It’s been really hard to track down data for certain subgroups
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That's a useful paper, thanks! Sadly it's a pretty tiny COVID-19 sample, so I think limited usefulness, but definitely on the right track
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The ONS survey in Britain seems to be the best population-wide estimate of this. https://www.ons.gov.uk/news/statementsandletters/theprevalenceoflongcovidsymptomsandcovid19complications …
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In addition to the ONS, the other pop representative surveillance study in U.K. will be following up. Agree
these are the designs we need!https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/215193/react-study-expanded-help-better-understand/ …
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There are estimates from random samples of population prevalence surveys & from follow up of (almost) all outpatients testing +ve. Based on these, the prevalence in adults is between 10-25% at around 3 months from onset, obviously with varying degrees of disability & severity.
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Interesting! Published somewhere?
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