https://www.wsj.com/articles/well-have-herd-immunity-by-april-11613669731 … I give this article a score of 9 Patinkins (maximum possible score = 10 Patinkins)pic.twitter.com/O8mxZ1kZbb
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Yes. I think attack rates are likely far higher in younger than older. Heterogeneity is an issue too [waves hands around]. But again, look forward to future discussion in a non-twitter forum.
I’m just glad Biden had left Scranton before the banana incident described in the song
That's what I get :-) Note that by the same calculation, NYC is 50% cumulative infected. And yet infections and deaths are continuing steadilypic.twitter.com/lgOdJi0GrZ
Re: "If you infer back using our age-adjusted IFRs and US deaths, you get a rate of about 25% infections" Back-calculating infections using your IFR research, with or without other IFR estimates: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.04.14.21255476v1.full-text … "among adults (age ≥ 20 years)" https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.12.01.20241539v2.full-text …pic.twitter.com/gzFwXuXiLh
Re: "among adults (age ≥ 20 years)" A bit lower than the infection rate given below. But that's likely because the lower response rate below caused over-estimation of seroprevalence. I'm also not sure about their adjustment for seroreversion. https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/1370974719747493888 …pic.twitter.com/oWs8VQP1bC
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