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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 24

      Some fascinating new data on 2020 deaths in Australia from @ABSStats: - no excess mortality - a modest (-0.8%) DECREASE in deaths - biggest driver of the decrease is the massive (-37%) reduction in flu deaths https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/health/causes-death/provisional-mortality-statistics/latest-release …pic.twitter.com/LfHTnyqXdp

      8 replies 73 retweets 167 likes
      Show this thread
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 24

      Pretty amazing that, despite the spike in COVID-19 deaths from the Victorian outbreak, there was ~no~ excess mortality during winter because the number of deaths directly attributable to influenza fell from a yearly average of ~900 to 42

      5:15 PM - 24 Feb 2021
      • 7 Retweets
      • 39 Likes
      • SterileCuck96 Mathematiker plädiert für Ruhe und Rationalität Tim Josie Philip Montgomery ♥️🧡💚 Hitting Alice 🕳 🐇 Dr Rick j.white Davo
      7 replies 7 retweets 39 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 24

          Also interesting - despite lockdowns and restrictions, at worst only very minor increases in deaths due to diabetes, cancer, or CVD, and a modest reduction in deaths due to COPD (probably flu related)pic.twitter.com/QQ6eYitfNW

          3 replies 4 retweets 19 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 24

          Small note of caution - this is provisional data, which the ABS warns may only represent ~95% of the total, so the numbers may change slightly before being finalized

          3 replies 1 retweet 13 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 24

          Anyway, this provides quite strong evidence against the idea that government restrictions are necessarily associated with large numbers of non-COVID deaths, at least in the short term. The long term is of course still an open question

          1 reply 3 retweets 39 likes
          Show this thread
        5. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Zach Hensel‏ @alchemytoday Feb 24
          Replying to @GidMK

          Will be interesting to see what a 1-2 year pause in influenza means for influenza.

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 24
          Replying to @alchemytoday

          Agreed

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. ItSpreadsLikeSmoke 😷‏ @DaddyD0dd Feb 24
          Replying to @GidMK

          Mostly nursing homes I understand. Makes you wonder why we didn't do it before.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Andrew Coote‏ @AndrewJCoote Feb 24
          Replying to @DaddyD0dd @GidMK

          Do what before?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. National Picnic Crab  🦀 🇦🇺‏ @Glaven1994 Feb 24
          Replying to @GidMK

          Do you know what excess mortality was like in Victoria alone?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 24
          Replying to @Glaven1994

          The provisional numbers aren't broken down by state, not sure if Vic has their own report somewhere

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Mike Honey  💉 💉‏ @Mike_Honey_ Feb 24
          Replying to @GidMK

          Also amazing: we could almost eliminate Influenza, but for decades we’ve preferred to let it roll on and take hundreds of people.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Just Pete‏ @Goffel73 Mar 9
          Replying to @Mike_Honey_ @GidMK

          I think it'll need to be a worldwide effort and imagine the uproar locking down for flu. I'd approach it with vaccines & masks moving forward instead.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
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