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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Aurorion‏ @Aurorion Feb 22
      Replying to @falsel_net @GidMK

      It wouldnt make sense to calculate it on incidence.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    2. Kano  🇪🇺 #zeroCovid‏ @falsel_net Feb 23
      Replying to @Aurorion @GidMK

      Kano  🇪🇺 #zeroCovid Retweeted Kano  🇪🇺 #zeroCovid

      Well, there is a large discrepancy between random incidence and seroprevalence..https://twitter.com/falsel_net/status/1357075203193528322 …

      Kano  🇪🇺 #zeroCovid added,

      Kano  🇪🇺 #zeroCovid @falsel_net
      Replying to @t_kurz @Happy_live_safe @BAG_OFSP_UFSP
      Data from England, first wave, random population sampling: https://twitter.com/falsel_net/status/1266958814680580096 …
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Aurorion‏ @Aurorion Feb 23
      Replying to @falsel_net @GidMK

      Yeah but If you count all deaths, but only a Portion of cases. You will get a really high IFR. Much Higher, than it actually is.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Kano  🇪🇺 #zeroCovid‏ @falsel_net Feb 23
      Replying to @Aurorion @GidMK

      Yep, #IFR: Is the Fatality Rate when being infected by #SARSCoV2. NOT when having previously been infected..

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Aurorion‏ @Aurorion Feb 23
      Replying to @falsel_net @GidMK

      Yeah but you count the deaths of the while time WE hast Corona because of that you need to Count all the infections.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Kano  🇪🇺 #zeroCovid‏ @falsel_net Feb 23
      Replying to @Aurorion @GidMK

      True. You need to count all (risk of) infections, at a particular point in time

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Aurorion‏ @Aurorion Feb 23
      Replying to @falsel_net @GidMK

      No you neeed to Count all the infections that Hapend and compare that with all the deaths

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Kano  🇪🇺 #zeroCovid‏ @falsel_net Feb 23
      Replying to @Aurorion @GidMK

      Kano  🇪🇺 #zeroCovid Retweeted Kano  🇪🇺 #zeroCovid

      Very interesting, I disagree though, and so do epidemediologists world-wide. Please @GidMK, comment a.s.a.p. Because we need to stop the repeated Lipsitch horror:https://twitter.com/falsel_net/status/1282688267335413764 …

      Kano  🇪🇺 #zeroCovid added,

      Kano  🇪🇺 #zeroCovid @falsel_net
      Replying to @TheAtlantic @jameshamblin
      Nicely written article explaining esoteric concept of #Herdimmunity for #SARSCoV2. Lipsitch indeed caused world wide harm, disease, death and confusion. Misleading a.o. the @rivm. https://twitter.com/falsel_net/status/1278585267511754752 … I would advise Lipsitch to read this: https://twitter.com/falsel_net/status/1280802498555625473 … pic.twitter.com/j1kDAWw1Uh
      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 23
      Replying to @falsel_net @Aurorion

      I'm not sure what you mean. You can calculate either a time-varying IFR or a single estimate, both are reasonable with caveats and useful in their own way. One uses incidence, one uses overall prevalence of past infection

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    10. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 23
      Replying to @GidMK @falsel_net @Aurorion

      I would say that it is basically impossible even now to calculate a good estimate of the time-varying IFR, because aside from the UJ there really isn't anywhere in the world that has collected good incidence/prevalence data over time

      3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 23
      Replying to @GidMK @falsel_net @Aurorion

      Sorry *UK, specifically the Office For National Statistics

      1:36 PM - 23 Feb 2021
      • 1 Like
      • Aurorion
      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like

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