The United States recently reached 500,000 COVID-19 deaths That means the POPULATION fatality rate (i.e. deaths/population) for the US is 0.15% With an estimated ~25% infection rate, the INFECTION fatality rate is ~.6%
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Replying to @GidMK
Do you mean that cumulative ~25% of the US population has been infected over the course of one year? Or, is the virus currently spread among ~25% of the US population? In other words, is IFR calculated on cumulative prevalence, or incidence of
#SARSCoV2 infections?2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @falsel_net @GidMK
It wouldnt make sense to calculate it on incidence.
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Kano 🇪🇺 #zeroCovid Retweeted Kano 🇪🇺 #zeroCovid
Well, there is a large discrepancy between random incidence and seroprevalence..https://twitter.com/falsel_net/status/1357075203193528322 …
Kano 🇪🇺 #zeroCovid added,
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Replying to @falsel_net @GidMK
Yeah but If you count all deaths, but only a Portion of cases. You will get a really high IFR. Much Higher, than it actually is.
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Replying to @falsel_net @GidMK
Yeah but you count the deaths of the while time WE hast Corona because of that you need to Count all the infections.
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True. You need to count all (risk of) infections, at a particular point in time
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Replying to @falsel_net @GidMK
No you neeed to Count all the infections that Hapend and compare that with all the deaths
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Kano 🇪🇺 #zeroCovid Retweeted Kano 🇪🇺 #zeroCovid
Very interesting, I disagree though, and so do epidemediologists world-wide. Please
@GidMK, comment a.s.a.p. Because we need to stop the repeated Lipsitch horror:https://twitter.com/falsel_net/status/1282688267335413764 …Kano 🇪🇺 #zeroCovid added,
Kano 🇪🇺 #zeroCovid @falsel_netReplying to @TheAtlantic @jameshamblinNicely written article explaining esoteric concept of#Herdimmunity for#SARSCoV2. Lipsitch indeed caused world wide harm, disease, death and confusion. Misleading a.o. the@rivm. https://twitter.com/falsel_net/status/1278585267511754752 … I would advise Lipsitch to read this: https://twitter.com/falsel_net/status/1280802498555625473 … pic.twitter.com/j1kDAWw1Uh2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
I'm not sure what you mean. You can calculate either a time-varying IFR or a single estimate, both are reasonable with caveats and useful in their own way. One uses incidence, one uses overall prevalence of past infection
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I would say that it is basically impossible even now to calculate a good estimate of the time-varying IFR, because aside from the UJ there really isn't anywhere in the world that has collected good incidence/prevalence data over time
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Replying to @GidMK @falsel_net
Just making sure for a time-varying IFR you would count the deaths in a certain time and the infections in the same time otherwise, the IFR wouldnt bei correct, right ?
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