Actually, I should also clarify that the earlier JAMA study was not an official CDC estimate (although it was conducted by CDC personnel), while these figures are
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Right, since this is total infections from February–December 2020, you would have to normalize to account for Jan/Feb. On Dec 30 there were 20M cases, now 35% higher. So if infections are just 20% higher, this gets closer to 0.4% IFR.pic.twitter.com/7oFGvU7Zvu
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I have no idea what you mean. The entire point is that confirmed case data does not give us a good guide on true infection numbers, but we do need to include a lag because deaths don't happen the day after infection and are not reported for some time after that
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