Really puts into perspective how wildly off the earlier estimates of very low IFRs in the US were. An IFR of 0.1% is numerically impossible at this point
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Another important piece of perspective is that, in the 12 months from March 2020-March 2021, COVID-19 will likely be the leading cause of death in the US
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Also, these numbers align surprisingly well with
@LeaMerone and my figures produced way back in July 2020, which posited a population IFR of ~0.53-0.82%https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1201971220321809 …Show this thread
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In 15% of US counties, 0.30% of the entire population has diedpic.twitter.com/1J6L3DSt0i
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And with the undercounts.....
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Where did you get ~25% infection rate? Studies showed back in July there could easily be 5X more infections than tested cases. This would mean ~144M have been infected which gives ~3% IFR. Do you have a source for 25%?pic.twitter.com/jDCKLMDpmX
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And for those who have sang the false song for months now, what is the IFR and PFR for the seasonal flu?
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Do you mean that cumulative ~25% of the US population has been infected over the course of one year? Or, is the virus currently spread among ~25% of the US population? In other words, is IFR calculated on cumulative prevalence, or incidence of
#SARSCoV2 infections? -
Cumulative.
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