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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 18

    A very interesting paper on global excess mortality during COVID-19 from @hippopedoid "...suggests that the world’s COVID-19 death toll may be at least 1.6 times higher than the reported number of confirmed deaths"https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.01.27.21250604v1 …

    7:31 PM - 18 Feb 2021
    • 70 Retweets
    • 144 Likes
    • DJ 💧 Ian "Department of Diseasology" 🍩 Musgrave Hinnack69 'Bert Duncan Moore Lili S. Ricehofen kfunk937 tricia w #CovidIsAirborne
    8 replies 70 retweets 144 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 18

        Basically, they predicted excess mortality based on previous years using a linear forecast, and capturing seasonal and other variation in mortalitypic.twitter.com/7HK5k55LlQ

        1 reply 3 retweets 15 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 18

        This came up with some very interesting results. For example, here are the excess mortality curves for Australia/New Zealand with #ZeroCovidpic.twitter.com/g9YwO6p2LF

        2 replies 8 retweets 22 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 18

        Compare them to two countries with massive COVID-19 outbreaks - Mexico and Russiapic.twitter.com/sg6KPN5OhN

        2 replies 6 retweets 20 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 18

        Anyway, the paper is worth a read, but the idea that there could be nearly double the number of COVID-19 deaths in the world compared to the confirmed reported ones is quite staggering

        7 replies 5 retweets 39 likes
        Show this thread
      6. End of conversation
      1. מאיר רובין Meir Rubin‏ @Meir_Rubin Feb 18
        Replying to @GidMK @hippopedoid

        The other author is @ArielKarlinsky.

        0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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      1. Eshed Lin‏ @eshed_lin Feb 18
        Replying to @GidMK @hippopedoid

        @ArielKarlinsky

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. Ariel Karlinsky‏ @ArielKarlinsky Feb 19
        Replying to @GidMK @hippopedoid

        Hi Gideon, #WorldMortality is by @hippopedoid and myself. Since publishing the preprint, the number of countries is up to 79. We have updated the data and analysis several times, both are freely available. Data: https://github.com/akarlinsky/world_mortality … Analysis: https://github.com/dkobak/excess-mortality …pic.twitter.com/sRzR9cvs7I

        10 replies 32 retweets 95 likes
      3. Peter Spitters 🇪🇺 😷 📉 🌎 ⚠️‏ @PeterSpitters Feb 19
        Replying to @ArielKarlinsky @GidMK @hippopedoid

        Peter Spitters 🇪🇺 😷 📉 🌎 ⚠️ Retweeted Peter Spitters 🇪🇺 😷 📉 🌎 ⚠️

        📌 I am looking at a with/without view on the Pandemic. From an economic/complexity point of view I ask your opinion for this hypothesis on the reasoning⬇️https://twitter.com/PeterSpitters/status/1359250450667757580?s=19 …

        Peter Spitters 🇪🇺 😷 📉 🌎 ⚠️ added,

        Peter Spitters 🇪🇺 😷 📉 🌎 ⚠️ @PeterSpitters
        1/n 📌 Q: With/Without Pandemic: "what does 2020/21 look like if this thing had never, ever happened? All deaths can be attributed, in some way, to the pandemic, eg as it disrupted the healthcare system" h/t @AndrewNoymer @MaiaMajumder https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02497-w …⬇️
        Show this thread
        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. HansnFranz‏ @Hans_nFranz Feb 19
        Replying to @GidMK @hippopedoid

        Nice to see people looking at total deaths. Not nice to see the actual numbers of course. This is important data and reflects what I imagine many of us suspected.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. Pf-Ilze-red  😷 🇿🇦‏ @toit_ilze Feb 19
        Replying to @GidMK @hippopedoid

        @GidMK This would not surprise me too much. In SA the excess death is more than double the reported death.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Pf-Ilze-red  😷 🇿🇦‏ @toit_ilze Feb 19
        Replying to @toit_ilze @GidMK @hippopedoid

        https://www.samrc.ac.za/reports/report-weekly-deaths-south-africa …

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation

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