The key issue with the Great Barrington Declaration and similar efforts was never about the policy per se, it was the absurd pretence that we could have enormous COVID-19 outbreaks without cost This was clearly never true
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I don’t know how many people believed the denialists, or used Great Barrington arguments in good faith. But many people in the US absolutely believed public health officials and experts who said in October and November that we can control the pandemic though “targeted measures.”
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Those claims were horrifically off target. They never called for lockdowns. There have been almost 300,000 deaths since October with no reflection or admission of error. So we just keep pressing forward with the same approach and refuse to have any real public dialogue.
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Depends surely on the width of your view. In some countries the pandemic has been very bad indeed, in others hardly seen at all. In global terms has excess mortality risen significantly ?
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The challenge is that mortality at a global level is a very crude estimate, because the reporting systems in different countries vary so widely. It would be very hard to estimate excess mortality for the entire world in any realistic way
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I really do my best, but then I see people claiming "99.9% survival rate" (it was still popular mere weeks ago), "but the cures exist" "fake news media" "everybody is asymptomatic" and get discouraged. How do I bridge when they literally cling to their reality?
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The politicization has amplified the damages enourmously. Sometimes from the left, okay, but mostly from Trumpists - and they're trapped in their post-truth politics because they prefer to hear that. What a world.
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We can debate about whether IFR in the USA is 0.5% or 0.6% or even 0.4%. But instead we have a doctor writing op ed in WSJ stating the IFR is 0.23% (two sig. figs!) and therefore 2/3 of Americans are already infected. Laughably tragic.
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This is just an arrogant and baseless take on the GBR from one of the biggest Lockdown-Damage deniers. The "pandemic is bad but I think there will be greater harms from government action" is what the GBR stands for. Tell us about the perpetual European lockdown successes...
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The world isn't just Europe.
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That’s not what I heard. There was no debate on the full cost of lockdown any debate was closed down. The trade offs were not even allowed discussion.
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