You still are not understanding what I did. I wrote a tutorial in the first thread. If you want to continue the discussion, you'll have to understand what I did.
I mean, it's a strong trend that has been present for the last 50 years not just in Sweden but across most/all developed nations. 96k requires you to assume that such a trend would not only discontinue but, given the 2019 figures, reverse!
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The trend has been slowing down and its very difficult to extrapolate. There is a probability of increase. Just like life expectancy in the US decreased for men in 2019 (I believe). Strange things happen. This is how most people define ranges -formally it is a confidence interval
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Actually, that is not the correct definition of a confidence interval. It sounds more like you're trying to create a predictive interval taking into account uncertainty around the predicted decline, except it's very one-sided
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