Do we know that the UK strain ‘moves faster’? Does it have a shorter interval and incubation period? Not the same thing as the reproduction number being higher #covid19vic
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Given n is low, not sure how they would have confidence in a shorter period. Wouldn't it be more likely that the close contacts who test +ve at a later date haven't come back yet?
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whats interesting with that, normal interval for transmission is what, like 4-6 days? so just going from 5 days to 4 days would be 25% increase...at least half the increase of 30-50% that seems to be mentioned. no clue if true, but seems plausible. definitely interesting thought
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This data point from the Guardian - not sure how common short SI was with older strains before but it seems to be surprising to the contact tracers.pic.twitter.com/1l71SEY8Qs
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They have 1 data point. They’re basing this off one single incident. Case tested negative on 7th and was positive on the 10th. Their close contact tested positive on the 10th as well. https://www.9news.com.au/national/coronavirus-melbourne-holiday-inn-cluster-grows-fears-of-another-lockdown-third-wave/76487987-e76d-4868-9949-71345bf083bf …pic.twitter.com/jQWrZ4xEfd
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