8/n This doesn't entirely discount the lower herd immunity threshold, but it does make it somewhat less likely What else could be happening here?
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19/n If this speculation is correct, and everyone entirely dropped their guard against COVID-19, even in places that were very hard-hit you'd expect to see another resurgence of the disease As we did in Manaus
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20/n TL:DR I think a reasonable explanation for declining COVID-19 cases in a number of places is a combination of long-lasting behavioural changes alongside enormous numbers of infections. Hopefully vaccines can bridge the remaining gap in the near future
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This is so hard :), hopefully 30% of vaccinations in cities like NY will keep us on the decline!
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