Thanks to @MackayIM @eliowa @angie_rasmussen and others who inspired the blog post 
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I completely agree! I figured this would end up being endemic early on just because of the lack of response, and I like your optimism that we could eradicate down the line! I think maybe the animal vector issue could be a problem with eradication? Also we are SO close with polio.
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Great summary, thank you
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I needed this optimism today. Thanks!
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Case numbers appear to be declining in many countries, even in those with poor NPI compliance and limited vaccination, like Spain. Is this a real phenomenon?pic.twitter.com/iwSBZQ7RgI
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When case numbers get high enough, people modify their behaviour
reduction in cases. Maybe too early for spring in northern hemisphere to be helpful. Too early for vaccines to have impact. When ppl start socialising, numbers
, maybe limited by weather & more vaccine?
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Interesting, another good read. Why would it become "cold like" over time? I realize with vaccinations we are pushing it to a "low IFR segment", but we do see severe cases even in the (very) young - why would that change over time? Couldn't it just as well become more virulent?
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I think it’s way more common to be less than more virulent. None of the other coronaviruses have mutated to be anything other than endemic right? I’m not being sarcastic/snarky, I just feel like “worst case scenario” is so prevalent right now...we should all take a breath.
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It’s helpful to know if complete eradication is likely/possible, but I am very worried this narrative gives the green light to leaders in US, UK, France, etc who interpret “live with the virus” to mean it can’t be defeated and we need to just move on now, and accept many deaths
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I’d also be interested to hear more about how national strategies that allow very high transmission now might impact the likelihood that the vaccines are less effective sooner rather than later. Is failure to suppress a major risk, or is the short term outcome inevitable?
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