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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 9

    With vaccines rolling out, everyone's asking the same question: how will COVID-19 end? What will it look like? So I wrote about ithttps://gidmk.medium.com/the-end-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-b03ac751baa1 …

    1:18 PM - 9 Feb 2021
    • 68 Retweets
    • 224 Likes
    • Swinkle Stockholm Syndrome #FBPE 🇸🇪🇬🇧🇪🇺🏳️‍🌈🌍☮ Dr Steve Moss 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦👨‍🎓👨‍🔬👨‍💻👨‍🏫🧐💙 Celtic Warrior Woman LegalRNC Erika Louw Sphexish j.white Michael K. Goode, 🦆
    26 replies 68 retweets 224 likes
      1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Feb 9

        Thanks to @MackayIM @eliowa @angie_rasmussen and others who inspired the blog post ❤️

        3 replies 0 retweets 20 likes
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      1. Kanaka Sathasivan, MPH‏ @KanakaMPH Feb 9
        Replying to @GidMK

        I completely agree! I figured this would end up being endemic early on just because of the lack of response, and I like your optimism that we could eradicate down the line! I think maybe the animal vector issue could be a problem with eradication? Also we are SO close with polio.

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. Will Hoenig‏ @WilliamBHoenig Feb 9
        Replying to @GidMK

        Great summary, thank you

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Scott Meyers  🧢‏ @ScottVMeyers Feb 9
        Replying to @GidMK

        I needed this optimism today. Thanks!

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. BCNT‏ @BCNThomson Feb 9
        Replying to @GidMK

        Case numbers appear to be declining in many countries, even in those with poor NPI compliance and limited vaccination, like Spain. Is this a real phenomenon?pic.twitter.com/iwSBZQ7RgI

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Count Sheep 🦇 🏳️‍🌈 💉 💉‏ @maddy_jones15 Feb 10
        Replying to @BCNThomson @GidMK

        When case numbers get high enough, people modify their behaviour ➡️reduction in cases. Maybe too early for spring in northern hemisphere to be helpful. Too early for vaccines to have impact. When ppl start socialising, numbers ⬆️, maybe limited by weather & more vaccine?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Faktuellt Inkorrekt‏ @faktuellt Feb 9
        Replying to @GidMK

        Interesting, another good read. Why would it become "cold like" over time? I realize with vaccinations we are pushing it to a "low IFR segment", but we do see severe cases even in the (very) young - why would that change over time? Couldn't it just as well become more virulent?

        3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. KM‏ @TheKevShow24 Feb 9
        Replying to @faktuellt @GidMK

        I think it’s way more common to be less than more virulent. None of the other coronaviruses have mutated to be anything other than endemic right? I’m not being sarcastic/snarky, I just feel like “worst case scenario” is so prevalent right now...we should all take a breath.

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      4. Show replies
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      2. wsbgnl‏ @wsbgnl Feb 9
        Replying to @GidMK

        It’s helpful to know if complete eradication is likely/possible, but I am very worried this narrative gives the green light to leaders in US, UK, France, etc who interpret “live with the virus” to mean it can’t be defeated and we need to just move on now, and accept many deaths

        2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. wsbgnl‏ @wsbgnl Feb 9
        Replying to @wsbgnl @GidMK

        I’d also be interested to hear more about how national strategies that allow very high transmission now might impact the likelihood that the vaccines are less effective sooner rather than later. Is failure to suppress a major risk, or is the short term outcome inevitable?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation

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