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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Bill Hanage‏Verified account @BillHanage Jan 31

      Bill Hanage Retweeted Health Nerd

      Once upon a time there was a paper with a lot of errors, that had a major impact on school openings, and deserved correction. @GidMK worked to correct it w @ikashnitsky and turned out to be right. Was it easy? No. Were they thanked for helping science? Not so much. See the threadhttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1356085063998267398 …

      Bill Hanage added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      The story continues - after @ikashnitsky and I pointed out that this paper was mathematically impossible, and had numerous errors, it was partially corrected Now, the lead author is calling us "trolls" https://twitter.com/anya1anya/status/1355865046392430595 …
      Show this thread
      4 replies 41 retweets 145 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Jon L‏ @JonL8675309 Jan 31
      Replying to @BillHanage @GidMK @ikashnitsky

      The authors originally said 13.8 million years lost (but with wide a confidence interval, btween 2.5 and 42.1 million)... What is the current best estimate (or confidence interval)?

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jan 31
      Replying to @JonL8675309 @JonLoflin and

      13.8 is the "corrected" estimate using only US studies. The original number was 3 million or so

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. Jon L‏ @JonL8675309 Jan 31
      Replying to @GidMK @BillHanage @ikashnitsky

      @GidMK - what would be your estimate for the US, having been through this paper in detail? Or is your view their methodology is beyond salvage? [And BTW I'm not arguing, not at all, really am just asking because the original question is an interesting one]

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jan 31
      Replying to @JonL8675309 @JonLoflin and

      I don't think it's likely that you could come to a reasonable conclusion. There are simply too many causal leaps between missing days of school and future predicted years of life lost

      8:53 PM - 31 Jan 2021
      • 5 Likes
      • Johnny Rhee🔴 Nik Kolb Ilya Kashnitsky Derrick VanGennep Jon L
      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Jon L‏ @JonL8675309 Jan 31
          Replying to @GidMK @BillHanage @ikashnitsky

          I remember reading that article and being shocked at the number I think a lot of people assumed it was a reasonable conclusion, just because JAMA is thought of pretty highly What an unfortunate mess

          2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Vanessa Lui‏ @vzlui Jan 31
          Replying to @JonL8675309 @JonLoflin and

          Fwiw re: YLL my daughter’s school may eventually test the drinking water at her school. Hopefully they can tackle the HVAV system soon...https://www.texastribune.org/2021/01/28/texas-lead-drinking-water-schools/ …

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies

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