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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jan 28

      Health Nerd Retweeted Eli Perencevich, MD MS 🧼  😷

      Although I'm not sure I entirely agree with the timeline (it could easily take another 6-12mo) I think @eliowa is bang on the money here. COVID-19 may well be a seasonal endemic disease by this time 2023* *many caveats to this statementhttps://twitter.com/eliowa/status/1354990874099412992 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Eli Perencevich, MD MS 🧼  😷Verified account @eliowa
      Replying to @jeremyfaust @DrLeanaWen and 4 others
      Hustle is good since many will die this spring. But I think the end is written. Seasonal 5th common coronavirus by fall in many places. If vaccines and natural immunity mostly prevent severe disease, we have colds with variants. But lots of work to do!
      4 replies 7 retweets 25 likes
    2. Eli Perencevich, MD MS 🧼  😷‏Verified account @eliowa Jan 28
      Replying to @GidMK

      Eli Perencevich, MD MS 🧼  😷 Retweeted David Fisman

      We are on the 1918/9 influenza timeline but we have vaccines. Nicely said here:https://mobile.twitter.com/DFisman/status/1354983449581518857 …

      Eli Perencevich, MD MS 🧼  😷 added,

      David FismanVerified account @DFisman
      I think this is an unfortunate and inaccurate headline. Pandemics have a beginning, middle and end. We are on the 1918-19 timeline now. A March surge is likely as is a summer subsidence. https://globalnews.ca/news/7605127/canada-coronavirus-pandemic-finish-line/amp/?__twitter_impression=true …
      Show this thread
      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jan 28
      Replying to @eliowa

      Sure, but there are many places in the world that won't be able to vaccinate significant swathes of their population in the short term, with insufficient transmission to halt a new epidemic. Depends mostly on what we mean by "many places"!

      7:27 PM - 28 Jan 2021
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Eli Perencevich, MD MS 🧼  😷‏Verified account @eliowa Jan 28
          Replying to @GidMK

          Understand but 1918/1919 ended without a vaccine. They may have a rougher winter 20/21 but even that may not happen. I’m just pushing back on the doom/gloom about variants etc. winter was going to stink but spring will come

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jan 28
          Replying to @eliowa

          I'm trying not to be gloom and doom but I do think this is pretty different to 18/19 in many ways. I hope you're right but I can see it taking a bit longer too!

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies

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