The real irony is that epidemiologists have almost exclusively wanted to avoid lockdowns while the Lockdown Skeptics ensured that such actions were inevitable by minimising the pandemic and pretending it didn't existhttps://twitter.com/devisridhar/status/1353778545613541377 …
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Replying to @GidMK
The problem: up until 2020 it was common wisdom among epidemiologists that a respiratory virus pandemic could not be contained. That any NPI could only flatten the curve. "Crushing the curve" was considered an infeasible "cranky" concept. No one in the west had the courage to try
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Replying to @epsilon3141 @GidMK
It worked with SARS and various MERS outbreaks.
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Replying to @MikeDeeeeeee @GidMK
Yes. But both SARS and MERS were considered not as efficiently community-transmissible than, e.g. influenza. It simply did not occur to them that
#SARSCoV2 could be as efficiently transmissible than influenza. Or: if it did, then so they thought, NPI could not contain it anyway1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes -
I have seen Jacinda saying Zero Covid was not the original goal but that it became apparent that it was possible for them when they were already well into lockdown.
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Replying to @ioiiooio @epsilon3141 and
NZ of course is not the global hub the UK is. It's entire population is the size of one or two of our cities combined. We can't all just flip a switch and become like them. Over 30 countries locked down to varying degrees. Tired of hearing about that one success story.
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Replying to @ioiiooio @epsilon3141 and
Australia succeeded too, but the fact that both were geographically isolated islands _in the southern hemisphere_ was crucial.
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Not dissimilar from Vietnam and Mongolia, two geographically isolated islands far from China and in the southern hemisphere
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They were direct neighbours of China, which made the danger far more screamingly obvious that it was in Western countries. Plus Mongolia has a really low population density and Vietnam is a communist police state.
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Ah yes, the direct neighbour of China argument explains how India did so amazingly well, and the communism angle tells us all we need to know about several struggling nations Or, you know, you're talking absolute nonsense. Could be that too!
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