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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jan 14

    It's likely that the marginal benefit - the additional improvement on top of other things - of very restrictive COVID-19 interventions like stay-at-home orders may be quite small However, this is probably equally true of the COST of these interventions

    2:12 PM - 14 Jan 2021
    • 3 Retweets
    • 25 Likes
    • Jake Syma Aisling Kenny transplantrockstar The Real Truther Paul Conte Γιώργος Κυλάφας 💉💉 RalfFFM Michael (Mike) Meier Andreas Prucha 🔴🟡
    7 replies 3 retweets 25 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jan 14

        It's something that I've seen completely ignored by most anti-restriction campaigners, but I think it's an important point that we should consider

        1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jan 14

        Yes, if you've already limited how much people can go out to restaurants etc then closing them entirely might not reduce transmission all that much But it also won't have the same negative impact either!

        2 replies 0 retweets 18 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jan 14

        The point is not that these restrictions are either good or bad, but simply that the idea that there is a simple way to estimate the cost-benefit of such interventions is almost certainly wrong

        2 replies 2 retweets 23 likes
        Show this thread
      5. End of conversation
      1. Zamboni23‏ @Zamboni231 Jan 14
        Replying to @GidMK

        The marginal cost of stay-at-home orders is quite small? By what metric?

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Marco Cardillo‏ @marccardillo Jan 14
        Replying to @GidMK

        There are good arguments against forcing people at home even if the impact on the pandemic is high. But if it’s small, it’s even more shameful having forced people to live like in detention and claiming the cost of it is low is offensive.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Andreas Prucha  🔴 🟡‏ @AndreasPrucha Jan 14
        Replying to @marccardillo @GidMK

        The point is: When these things which really have a huge impact are implemented people don't have much of a reason to go anywhere anyway.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Dr Kit Byatt‏ @Laconic_doc Jan 14
        Replying to @GidMK

        Here's some evidence... ...consistent with that former hypothesis. 👇 [ref: http://nature.com/articles/s41562-020-01009-0 …]pic.twitter.com/UCPHq8kMqA

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Ericasbestlife‏ @EricaCampbell48 Jan 14
        Replying to @GidMK

        Yeah. I’m not really with you on this one. Even a short time away from school has had enormous impacts on many children that I’m aware of. Including Increasing anxiety on return. & I know I’ve seen research claiming that loneliness does actually kill. Also what do you know of DV?

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Douglas Pollitt‏ @DouglasPollitt Jan 14
        Replying to @GidMK

        It's not the lockdowns themselves; it's the indiscriminate nature of same, the blunt hammer, the arbitrariness of it all. This breeds resentment & non-compliance. Schools are closed, LTC homes open. Mom n pop stores closed, big box stores open. Tough to get behind this banner.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. David Winebrenner Jr‏ @winfinancial Jan 15
        Replying to @GidMK

        The virus doesn’t die or leave during lockdowns. It just waits. Build the host. Protect the vulnerable don’t skip line

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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