It's something that I've seen completely ignored by most anti-restriction campaigners, but I think it's an important point that we should consider
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Yes, if you've already limited how much people can go out to restaurants etc then closing them entirely might not reduce transmission all that much But it also won't have the same negative impact either!
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The point is not that these restrictions are either good or bad, but simply that the idea that there is a simple way to estimate the cost-benefit of such interventions is almost certainly wrong
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The marginal cost of stay-at-home orders is quite small? By what metric?
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There are good arguments against forcing people at home even if the impact on the pandemic is high. But if it’s small, it’s even more shameful having forced people to live like in detention and claiming the cost of it is low is offensive.
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The point is: When these things which really have a huge impact are implemented people don't have much of a reason to go anywhere anyway.
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Here's some evidence... ...consistent with that former hypothesis.
[ref: http://nature.com/articles/s41562-020-01009-0 …]pic.twitter.com/UCPHq8kMqA
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Yeah. I’m not really with you on this one. Even a short time away from school has had enormous impacts on many children that I’m aware of. Including Increasing anxiety on return. & I know I’ve seen research claiming that loneliness does actually kill. Also what do you know of DV?
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It's not the lockdowns themselves; it's the indiscriminate nature of same, the blunt hammer, the arbitrariness of it all. This breeds resentment & non-compliance. Schools are closed, LTC homes open. Mom n pop stores closed, big box stores open. Tough to get behind this banner.
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The virus doesn’t die or leave during lockdowns. It just waits. Build the host. Protect the vulnerable don’t skip line
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