11/n Indeed, going by the references that the authors cite, this issue may have arisen because they used Statista as their primary source for case data, which is...not idealpic.twitter.com/W34W1uThYe
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22/n More realistically, I think we can probably say that the paper tells us little useful except that analysing the impact of NPIs generally is extremely hard
23/n This is a bit of a shame, because I actually agree wholeheartedly with the authors that there is a cost to restrictive NPIs, and the marginal benefit of (say) stay-at-home orders is likely to be quite small in many circumstances
24/n That being said, this paper just doesn't tell us anything useful about these mrNPIs beyond some more very vague evidence that they may not be as beneficial on top of other interventions (maybe)
25/n Ultimately, the authors may have failed to find a benefit of business closures or stay-at-home orders, but the methodology used just doesn't give us enough information to say much, if anything, conclusivelypic.twitter.com/0yrwOfkA4q
26/n Some more issues with the study, which gets worse and worse the more you look at it!https://twitter.com/AndreasShrugged/status/1349464781145731073?s=20 …
the terms had me puzzled Isn't that maybe a bit of an arbitrary categorization? mrNPI == more restrictive NPI lrNPI== less restrictive NPI
Totally arbitrary, largely meaningless and subjective
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