Re-reading John Ioannidis' Stat piece from March17th, 2020 is really quite something Many of these are myths that still remain today. Hugely influential stuffpic.twitter.com/LVGrAf4H42
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I think he suffered the fate of Narcissus. Important take-away is always be humble, seek out other views, be aware of fact every human being suffers from unconscious self-interest bias. Respect epidemiology as its own subject area of expertise. Basically, get over yourself.
That’s right: the wine didn’t age well, and it was putrid when it was bottled.
He started off so strong. What happened?
But Levitt agreed no? 
He was saying this at the same time - https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/nobel-laureate-israel-will-have-no-more-than-ten-coronavirus-deaths-621407 … - a lot of people remember the Israel prediction but I hadn't noticed the Italy prediction in the interview until now. Only off by a factor of 10 so far.pic.twitter.com/DjWRcFKkP7
His lower limit was exceeded about around 10 days after publication.
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