For John Ioannidis' estimate of the COVID-19 IFR to be accurate for the US it would currently require half of the entire country to have been infected alreadyhttps://twitter.com/JHowardBrainMD/status/1347908240978407424 …
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Agree. YYG’s nowcasting is really solid work. CDC estimate is plausible but feels a bit high
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