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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jan 9

    Health Nerd Retweeted Jonathan Howard

    For John Ioannidis' estimate of the COVID-19 IFR to be accurate for the US it would currently require half of the entire country to have been infected alreadyhttps://twitter.com/JHowardBrainMD/status/1347908240978407424 …

    Health Nerd added,

    Jonathan Howard @JHowardBrainMD
    More people died of covid in 3 days this week than John Ioannidis predicted would die the entire pandemic
    Show this thread
    6:57 PM - 9 Jan 2021
    • 39 Retweets
    • 189 Likes
    • Dang and Blast! Wavy Sabz🌹 “K” Rosewind Elephant Lord Povl Erik Carstensen Osler’s Razor alecia lynn eberhardt-smith Mudhafar
    17 replies 39 retweets 189 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Dave Blake, PhD‏ @_stah Jan 9
        Replying to @GidMK

        The CDC figures it is close to 35% now.

        1 reply 0 retweets 10 likes
      3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jan 9
        Replying to @_stah

        I think @youyanggu has a more reliable current estimate, but somewhere around 20-30% currently is very likely imo

        2 replies 0 retweets 12 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. DhRS‏ @nerdy_grad Jan 9
        Replying to @GidMK

        Is this based on his study's point estimate?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jan 9
        Replying to @nerdy_grad

        Yep

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Michael Duncan‏ @blacktumshie Jan 9
        Replying to @GidMK

        "Coronavirus may have infected half of UK population — Oxford study" https://amp.ft.com/content/5ff6469a-6dd8-11ea-89df-41bea055720b …. Considering that's where the UK was in March...

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Henry Nash‏ @gasdoc1982 Jan 10
        Replying to @blacktumshie @GidMK

        I don't think that opinion has been particularly well supported by recent events:pic.twitter.com/lDqFUwO2PT

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Fionna O'Leary,  🕯 🇪🇺‏ @fascinatorfun Jan 9
        Replying to @GidMK

        Fionna O'Leary,  🕯 🇪🇺 Retweeted Fionna O'Leary,  🕯 🇪🇺

        Already in the U.K. 0.139% of the entire population has died of Covid. (NB. Not excess deaths. Covid deaths You have to dig into the Gov dashboard to get all COVID deaths by date of death to date (somewhat laggy). I shall attach the links and photos from the website nexthttps://twitter.com/fascinatorfun/status/1347946239573295105 …

        Fionna O'Leary,  🕯 🇪🇺 added,

        Fionna O'Leary,  🕯 🇪🇺 @fascinatorfun
        ⚰️⚰️⚰️ 1035 (28 day cut off deaths). Reporting tends to go down over the weekend/ Monday. The overall trend is UP (51% on last week). ⚰️🚨⚰️💔 TOTAL COVID DEATHS. 95,101. 1 in 715 U.K. citizens. 0.139% That’s crazy bad. Explanations after Case numbers and hospital data pic.twitter.com/FSvhoTPQsU
        Show this thread
        2 replies 3 retweets 10 likes
      3. Fionna O'Leary,  🕯 🇪🇺‏ @fascinatorfun Jan 9
        Replying to @fascinatorfun @GidMK

        Fionna O'Leary,  🕯 🇪🇺 Retweeted Fionna O'Leary,  🕯 🇪🇺

        Crazy numbers It will be 100k next week I am pretty sure. That would be 0.147% 1 in every 680 citizens.https://twitter.com/fascinatorfun/status/1347951276341022723 …

        Fionna O'Leary,  🕯 🇪🇺 added,

        Fionna O'Leary,  🕯 🇪🇺 @fascinatorfun
        Now a more detailed explanation about why the total Covid deaths figure I give are 1/ MUCH higher than the official figure normally quoted & 2/ still legitimate COVID deaths from the Government Covid dashboard. NOT excess deaths. All the data here ⤵️ https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/deaths?areaType=overview&areaName=United%20Kingdom …
        Show this thread
        0 replies 2 retweets 5 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. The Night Watchman‏ @NightWatchman21 Jan 9
        Replying to @GidMK

        Isn't defining IFR like defining Rt? Ro is hard enough with CV-19, but can we really define accurate IFR because of interventions, and variables? It changes by location, timing, seasonality, and a lot of other things. Ex.- I would suspect IFR is lower in Sweden than Italy.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Atomsk's Sanakan‏ @AtomsksSanakan Jan 9
        Replying to @NightWatchman21 @GidMK

        Re: "Isn't defining IFR like defining Rt? Ro is hard enough with CV-19, but can we really define accurate IFR because of interventions, and variables?" Stop trolling. https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/1343330333106860036 …pic.twitter.com/kAYauTApdi

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Show replies

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