Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

Tweets

Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

Tweets

  • © 2021 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jan 2

    Health Nerd Retweeted COVID Impact

    This is extremely concerning. Implies that the 60%+ infection rate implied by a blood donor study was a very large overestimate in Manaus, and that there may be worse yet to come 😕 Also more strong evidence that herd immunity through infection was never a realistic aimhttps://twitter.com/CovidSerology/status/1345069530138038272 …

    Health Nerd added,

    COVID Impact @CovidSerology
    Daily hospitalizations in Manaus has now passed the April peak. 778 patients in hospital with confirmed COVID and over 1k more suspected cases in hospital. SRAG indicators have been pointing up for weeks now. Given high AR (at least 44% by June) the situation is very concerning pic.twitter.com/WzBnthJhJw
    Show this thread
    11:14 PM - 2 Jan 2021
    • 21 Retweets
    • 86 Likes
    • Katherine White Cozza 💙 NHS 💚 Trent Condellone National Picnic Crab 🦀🇦🇺 Viljami black coffee afficionado L'Actu en Perspectives Jari Peltomaa Toshi Clark
    6 replies 21 retweets 86 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Ryan‏ @ThatRyanChap Jan 2
        Replying to @GidMK @whippletom

        Think I’d take a sero over estimate rather than lots of reinfections though.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Dr Rob Whitehurst‏ @OYCar Jan 2
        Replying to @ThatRyanChap @GidMK @whippletom

        Excess deaths yield a 50 to 60 % estimate of the attack rate. The seroprevalence estimate was 76% which is a bit suspect. Clearly HIT is over 50% and this is just Doug aka D614G. His mate #b117 will have a higher threshold.

        4 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. LoupDesVosges  💉 💉‏ @LDVRegainSyb Jan 2
        Replying to @GidMK

        How is it possible? I thought IFR was roughly what was expected with this Attack rate in Manaus age demographics? Tests for antibodies were false positives?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. LoupDesVosges  💉 💉‏ @LDVRegainSyb Jan 2
        Replying to @LDVRegainSyb @GidMK

        I know these were estimates adjusted with seroreversion but still a large proportion of pop had been infected, even without seroreversion taken in account infected? That should slow the epidemic?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Matti Liljaniemi‏ @liljaniemi Jan 3
        Replying to @GidMK

        I'd say blood donors are a quite self-selecting group, not necessarily representative of a population. Also, it naturally excludes all u18s and o65s.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. missy‏ @fedupfish Jan 3
        Replying to @GidMK

        My daughter’s uni friend just tested positive again after having covid in late October. He wasn’t asymptomatic the first time & had it worse than the 17 others diagnosed in his friendship group. So far only bad headache but early days. Lives in Kent area. Worrying

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. New conversation
      2. Zach Hensel‏ @alchemytoday Jan 3
        Replying to @GidMK

        Rt had been around 1 in Manaus for many months, and now Christmas changes things. Similar story elsewhere in the world right now that was slowly opening over months after having very high infection rates.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Zach Hensel‏ @alchemytoday Jan 3
        Replying to @alchemytoday @GidMK

        The idea that south american countries or even hard hit regions overshot herd immunity never made sense looking at mobility data and seeing Rt never going much below 1.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation

    Loading seems to be taking a while.

    Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

      Promoted Tweet

      false

      • © 2021 Twitter
      • About
      • Help Center
      • Terms
      • Privacy policy
      • Cookies
      • Ads info