@GidMK has posted extensively on this.https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1344401528962961408 …
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Replying to @JakeKushnerMD @GidMK
sorry if i wasn't clear, my question was not "what do you think the IFR is?" but does believing the IFR range I gave you put one in camp-crazy?
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Replying to @raphaels7 @GidMK
It’s one more divisive issue that has been torn apart by various people who have a hidden agenda. John Ioannidis et al are driving a specific perspective. An objective view reveals their grotesque bias.
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I don’t have an expert opinion on the subject of IFR. Rather, I read the opinions of experts. Their consensus refutes that of JI et al. Cherry picked data, driven by political bias, is weaponized by the covid denial crowd.
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Replying to @JakeKushnerMD @GidMK
not to nitpick, but i would rather trust expertise - which is demonstrable - rather than experts, which are socially designated
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Replying to @raphaels7 @GidMK
But when expertise reveals bias… It’s important to step away and ask what is driving that prejudice.
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Replying to @JakeKushnerMD @GidMK
well, presumed prejudice. at least until the claim's veracity can be ascertained i'm no fan of arguing against someone by mind-reading intent. it's rarely called for & usually wrong. i much rather look at a person's track record. i think it'll be hard to attack JI on the latter
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Replying to @raphaels7 @GidMK
Jake Kushner MD Retweeted Eric Topol
Jake Kushner MD added,
Eric TopolVerified account @EricTopolThe John Ioannidis story. The consummate physician-researcher who "wrote that the virus might claim only 10,000 lives in the United States" https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2020/12/16/john-ioannidis-coronavirus-lockdowns-fox-news/ … by@PeteJamison pic.twitter.com/cbxLMyvvB81 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @JakeKushnerMD @GidMK
the 10,000 lives thing is a misquote, as it was only the lower end of the range he gave. he never gave it as a point estimate "A lie can travel halfway around the world while the truth Is putting on its shoes"
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but even if you were 100% true that this was the actual point estimate he gave, he still wouldn't be any less wrong than the death counts Ferguson et al. pushed that were off by a factor of 10 it's crucial we apply the same standards of evidence to all 'sides' of the question
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Lol, funny that you'd portray the 10k by Ioannidis as within a bound but ignore that the same was true of the Ferguson et al numbers. The headline stories about their models only gave the worst case scenario over two years (the famous 500k figure)
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Replying to @GidMK @raphaels7
And at this point with a bunch more bad luck, we might make 500,000. So sad.
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