There are very few things I feel comfortable saying this about, but I am a relevant expert and Alex has no idea what he's talking about when it comes to the death rate from COVID-19pic.twitter.com/RlAf48ApKs
Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him
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There are very few things I feel comfortable saying this about, but I am a relevant expert and Alex has no idea what he's talking about when it comes to the death rate from COVID-19pic.twitter.com/RlAf48ApKs
The IFR from COVID-19 varies substantially by age, but is above 1 in 1,000 even at the age of 45 years, and it only goes up from therehttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10654-020-00698-1 …
Globally, there are places where the IFR is 0.1-0.15%, but there are also places where it is 1-2% including many areas of the United States 
It's shocking, but with 330,000 US deaths to date, 0.1% of the entire US population has died of COVID, making that a rather strong lower bound on IFR.
That's just those who died who had a positive test and or clinical diagnosis. Certainly an underestimate.
I understand the need for privacy but I think many would gain perspective if they could see what we see. The most gruesome sights from the pandemic take place behind ICU doors. Most people dismissing COVID-19 don’t have visual context and don’t know what they’re talking about.
Some people win Russian roulette. Doesn't make it a great idea.
We published one of the more rigorous estimates of the COVID-19 infection fatality rate by age that shows the probability if anyone's interestedhttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10654-020-00698-1 …
This is really helpful in understanding #COVID IFR, thank you. (My teens totally get it.)
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