Vaccine gives us an off-ramp but in the meantime if people stopped amplifying the likes of Ivor Cummins, Clare Craig & Peter Hitchens the public might have a chance to hear truth & not shouted lies, we could beat this virus faster, reduce the length of lockdown & keep NHS afloat.
-
-
Very simply - if you do 210,000 tests, and 160 of them come back +ve (the July numbers from the ONS), then AT MOST the false +ve rate is 160/210,000 = 1 per 1,250 tests. But since it's extremely unlikely that ALL of those tests were false +ves, the rate is probably lower
-
In NSW, Australia, we recently ran 236,201 COVID-19 PCR tests during an outbreak and found 96 +ves. With 1 confirmed false +ve (we retest most positives), we can say that the false positive rate is at most 0.04% but is probably 0.0004% or lower (1 per 250,000 tests)pic.twitter.com/52OojXH9IW
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
I’d be interested in your opinion on asymptomatic infections and the benefits of testing those people. This article from the BMJ was rather illuminating.https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m4851 …
-
Seems like an opinion piece about a specific aspect of the UK's policy. Some of it is reasonable, although I'm surprised it was published in December because much of it seems very outdated (risking the scarcity of testing, for example, is not as much of an issue now)
- Show replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.
