It's very interesting. That got me thinking. Risk figures are probabilities, that generally include everyone. My next thought is then "How do I mitigate the risks?".
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I started with a .99999 probability of survival and took it to the 100th power to get a .999 probability, so 100 days of skydiving? (disclaimer I'm not an epi)
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It looks like sky diving tandem is closer to 5x safer.
pic.twitter.com/u8MD60y0MW
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I feel like that’s changed since 1994
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I have a child born with a condition that happens about 1/1000 - 1/500. Doesn't help a damn bit. It happens to you and you gotta live with it in real life Stats are only numbers. Protecy against corona. There is a chance or dying? Avoid the risk.
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I have a zebra kid too.
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The risk-benefit shift too. Gotta admit I’ve had a few days of “this is futile, we’re all going to get infected, may as well have good times before I or loved one dies” especially since I have strong regrets of not visiting my dad more before he died.
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Some even think that odds change. If you flip a coin it's 50% chance to get heads. If you flip heads 10 times on a row, it's still 50% chance, not something else.
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I really prefer the way
@d_spiegel framed it. Covid roughly doubles your death risk at all ages. So for 30yo it's something way below 1/1000 and for 65 yo it's a couple of % etc.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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