There are very few things I feel comfortable saying this about, but I am a relevant expert and Alex has no idea what he's talking about when it comes to the death rate from COVID-19pic.twitter.com/RlAf48ApKs
Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him
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There are very few things I feel comfortable saying this about, but I am a relevant expert and Alex has no idea what he's talking about when it comes to the death rate from COVID-19pic.twitter.com/RlAf48ApKs
The IFR from COVID-19 varies substantially by age, but is above 1 in 1,000 even at the age of 45 years, and it only goes up from therehttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10654-020-00698-1 …
Globally, there are places where the IFR is 0.1-0.15%, but there are also places where it is 1-2% including many areas of the United States 
It's shocking, but with 330,000 US deaths to date, 0.1% of the entire US population has died of COVID, making that a rather strong lower bound on IFR.
I guess this piece in the @WSJ that put the estimated of IFR at a tenth of that is counting on reincarnation of the dead... It is still 2020 so you never know.https://www.wsj.com/articles/is-the-coronavirus-as-deadly-as-they-say-11585088464?shareToken=st03117be0d6484de0a13e7fc81540a1fd&reflink=article_email_share&fbclid=IwAR3QrdAU25_WvJNfrJlOyzGAGesKlvT1gqVJVsKbbmOME2IyKqgXf-yqBes …
I'd forgotten about that piece! Even in March, not a good guess imo
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