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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Dec 2020

      There are very few things I feel comfortable saying this about, but I am a relevant expert and Alex has no idea what he's talking about when it comes to the death rate from COVID-19pic.twitter.com/RlAf48ApKs

      30 replies 57 retweets 491 likes
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    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Dec 2020

      The IFR from COVID-19 varies substantially by age, but is above 1 in 1,000 even at the age of 45 years, and it only goes up from therehttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10654-020-00698-1 …

      3 replies 57 retweets 193 likes
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      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Dec 2020

      Globally, there are places where the IFR is 0.1-0.15%, but there are also places where it is 1-2% including many areas of the United States 🤷‍♂️

      1:39 AM - 26 Dec 2020
      • 20 Retweets
      • 174 Likes
      • Rich #Justice4Hepzi:Justice4Sharyn:Justice4Leighanne Michael Brown Craig Kaplan Practice Courage blah Megan Myrrh Katherine White
      14 replies 20 retweets 174 likes
        1. Matthew Dalby‏ @MatthewJDalby 26 Dec 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Particularly as the fatality rate of the entire population reaches 0.1% in the UK and US.

          0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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        1. Trot Stats‏ @TrotStats 26 Dec 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Have you seen any IFR estimates from Victoria's 2nd wave via serology? I assume they had an IFR somewhere over 2% due to the outbreak being dominated by aged care and the high testing rates and lowish % positive tests imply a high % of cases were picked up.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. Carl T. Bergstrom‏Verified account @CT_Bergstrom 26 Dec 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          It's shocking, but with 330,000 US deaths to date, 0.1% of the entire US population has died of COVID, making that a rather strong lower bound on IFR.

          16 replies 73 retweets 268 likes
        3. Dr Rob Whitehurst‏ @OYCar 26 Dec 2020
          Replying to @CT_Bergstrom @GidMK

          That's just those who died who had a positive test and or clinical diagnosis. Certainly an underestimate.

          1 reply 2 retweets 17 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Dr. Swapneil Parikh 💉 💉 😷‏Verified account @swapneilparikh 26 Dec 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Even if the IFR of COVID-19 was 0.1% (it’s much higher) for a pandemic virus, that’s very high. One has to be so cruel to dismiss that like it’s nothing. Fatality rates do not fully capture suffering and long term morbidity. Much of this pandemic has gone unseen behind ICU doors.

          2 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
        3. localherodotbiz‏ @localherodotbiz 26 Dec 2020
          Replying to @swapneilparikh @GidMK

          Covids IFR is likely 2-6 times higher than 0.1%. But 0.1% is not high at all (comparable to the flu). There is also no evidence of long term morbidity at higher levels than the flu. The world had two worse pandemics in 58 and 68 and did not think of locking down.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. TruthSeekingLiberal‏ @LiberalSeeking 26 Dec 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          IFR doesn’t account for the asymptomatic cases that are expected to be 40% or more of all cases and are never counted correct?

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. Will‏ @wpgwill 26 Dec 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Where is the ifr 2% in the US? How many areas?

          3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. localherodotbiz‏ @localherodotbiz 26 Dec 2020
          Replying to @wpgwill @GidMK

          Retirement villages perhaps

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. localherodotbiz‏ @localherodotbiz 26 Dec 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          1-2% is a totally unfounded statement to which I doubt you can cite any evidence (and which is unlikely to be true). The real number is probably around 0.6%. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/mrc-gida/2020-10-29-COVID19-Report-34.pdf …

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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