18/n Fact 19: the corollary to Fact 18 is that a lot of the impact of lockdowns is UNCERTAIN
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29n Fact 29: The average life expectancy for an 80-year-old person alive today in the United Kingdom is 9.12 years. The average death rate from COVID-19 for this group is ~8.5% https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/lifeexpectancies/bulletins/nationallifetablesunitedkingdom/2017to2019#national-life-tables-life-expectancy-in-the-uk-data …
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30/n Fact 30: The UK has had a very large increase in excess mortality this year, orders of magnitude higher than in an average bad influenza seasonpic.twitter.com/TsgrJhQmx6
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31/n Fact 31: COVID-19 reinfections occur. While we do not know the exact rate as of yet, and it may be very low, as time goes on the rate is likely to risehttps://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30764-7/fulltext …
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32/n Fact 32: The WHO estimated that LESS THAN 10% of the world was infected in October, contrary to common mythshttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1315447821814775808?s=19 …
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33/n Fact 33: Many of these facts are about NUANCE and UNCERTAINTY. Often what we DO know is just that we don't know VERY MUCH
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34/n I wrote this thread up as a bit of a bloghttps://gidmk.medium.com/20-facts-about-covid-19-1afbb026bc98 …
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End of conversation
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I tweeted about this as well and linked to two of my collaborative studies that show reduced non-Covid deaths in Norway and US.https://twitter.com/alisongemmill/status/1341152171815968769 …
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Not "fact" at all. Straight from NZ Gov Stats. More deaths to year end June 2020 than 2019!
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