If numbers go up significantly today, I will absolutely concede that NSW Health have to do something drastic to change course. If the numbers go down (or plateau) today, how many of you will concede that NSW Health is evidently handling this well?
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Replying to @realCarrickRyan @erinrileyau
Being a scientist I am going to say that two days data is insufficient to determine either way.
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Replying to @ktibus @realCarrickRyan
Yet one day of 30 was enough to justify panic?
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Replying to @erinrileyau @realCarrickRyan
Covid 19 requires a hard and fast response.
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Replying to @ktibus @realCarrickRyan
I didn’t say policy decisions. I said panic.
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Replying to @erinrileyau @realCarrickRyan
What panic are you referring to? I'm discussing the success or otherwise of decisions made in the health response to contain the virus.
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Replying to @ktibus @realCarrickRyan
People insisting NSW is not doing enough.
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Replying to @erinrileyau @realCarrickRyan
That's not panic. It's a reasonable position that a large number of experts have supported.
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Replying to @ktibus @realCarrickRyan
It’s not based on evidence, though.
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Or at least it is based on a similar dearth of evidence as the idea that two days of low numbers would be enough to conclude that the outbreak has been contained
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