8/n From the 7th of October "about 10% of the global population is probably already infected", so ~750 millionpic.twitter.com/yXggm0TPFI
Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him
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8/n From the 7th of October "about 10% of the global population is probably already infected", so ~750 millionpic.twitter.com/yXggm0TPFI
9/n Still from the same paper, the idea that the pandemic is largely over in some places in the world (although these are not identified)pic.twitter.com/BtW5Iiuaxq
10/n Some amazing statements in this preprint: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.05.20054361v2.full.pdf … Firstly, in these locations (Europe/US), that "it is likely...that the peak daily deaths have already been reached"pic.twitter.com/LLbuNw5G3h
11/n From the same paper "the risk of death [from COVID-19] is in the same level roughly as dying from a car accident during daily commute"pic.twitter.com/X3A9AHWmC7
12/n From this paper: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207020301199 … Something of a prescient statementpic.twitter.com/Ot1j8qq4E8
13/n From this paper: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/article-abstract/2764369 … The idea that the high death rate in Italy earlier this year was because of a low death rate in 2019pic.twitter.com/K667aLl6pm
14/n Back to the IFR preprint for this great statement about COVID-19 vs seasonal influenza that was removed from the published version:pic.twitter.com/8gZWCz63PY
he is exactly right about the IFR being different across locations? You know this right?
well you do know though don't you? So why are you making out that what he says is untrue?
That wasn't what was misleading about that statement
It seems to me when reading it that he is theorising. I think you are being overly harsh. Anyway, I GENUINELY want to know what is happening re Florida vs California. Why is CA doing so bad?
No idea, I don't live in the states or know much about their respective situations
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