That interesting preprint from earlier this year is now published! Main finding is that the MARGINAL benefit of many interventions may be small, so e.g. stay-at-home may not reduce COVID-19 cases if schools/unis are already closedhttps://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/12/15/science.abd9338 …
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Conversely, this research did find that closing schools usually had a fairly large impact on cases but that may have been because it was usually implemented first ping
@DrZoeHyde3 replies 0 retweets 25 likesShow this thread -
Should note that this research does not differentiate causal impact, so it is very hard to know whether these interventions were themselves the cause of the drop in cases. Still, it is quite an interesting examination of the impact associated with them
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Replying to @GidMK
Thanks Gideon! An interesting paper, although it’d be difficult to fully disentangle schools from universities. It’d be interesting to repeat these analyses using 2nd wave data from Europe, where school closures are now being considered as an additional measure in some countries.
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I agree! Very hard to disentangle impacts, I thought this was one of the better attempts
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